May 1 Deadline Looms for Trump to Secure Congressional Approval on Iran War

23.04.2026

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar 1.3540-1.3790

Euro 1.5850-1.6100

Sterling 1.8330-1.8580

WTI Oil (opening level) $93.50

The CAD/USD is opening at 1.3665 ( 0.7318 )

USD/CAD remains in a consolidation phase, caught between support for the CAD from higher Oil prices and sustained demand for the USD in a risk-averse environment.

WTI US Oil is advancing for a fourth consecutive day, trading around $92.70 per barrel, driven by concerns over supply disruptions. Escalation between Iran and the US, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, is fueling these concerns following incidents involving vessels and the continuation of a US naval blockade.

The upside for the CAD remains limited by the relative strength of the USD, which retains its safe-haven appeal. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and the lack of tangible diplomatic progress continue to underpin the USD, despite expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy stance.

Headlines

The US and Iran are both acting to block the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran firing on at least three ships Wednesday. Before the expiry of the original ceasefire Wednesday, US President Trump said he would extend the ceasefire indefinitely, awaiting an Iranian peace proposal, though Tehran said it has no intent to engage in peace talks.
US President Trump has a May 1 deadline for seeking congressional authorization for the war in Iran under the War Powers Resolution of 1973, which states that if no formal declaration of war or other authorization has been made, he must wind down any military action within 60 days. Trump can extend activity for 30 days, but only if safe withdrawal of US forces is deemed a military necessity.

Key Points

Equities: Wall Street hit fresh highs, Europe slipped on oil and geopolitics, while Asia stayed mixed as Japan’s AI rally met China resilience.
Volatility: VIX below 19, ceasefire support, downside protection demand
Digital Assets: BTC and ETH steady, IBIT and ETHA strong, alt-coins softer
Fixed Income: Global bond yields edge higher on fresh rise in crude oil prices.
Currencies: US dollar firms again on latest crude oil price spike.
Commodities: Oil rebound sets the tone with metals lower

Comment (1)

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